RESEARCH PROFILE:


Dr. Syed Ateeb Akhter Shah

Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, IBA
Email: Ateeb@iba.edu.pk | Syed.Ateeb@wmich.edu | Ateeb@fulbrightmail.org

Dr. Syed Ateeb Akhter Shah is an applied economist and Fulbright alumnus, holding a PhD in Applied Economics from Western Michigan University, USA. With over 14 years of experience at the State Bank of Pakistan (the Central Bank of Pakistan), he has served in several key roles, including his most recent position, where he was responsible for advising the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank on the appropriate policy rate to achieve the inflation target within eight quarters.

Dr. Syed's research focuses on macroeconomic and microeconomic impact analysis and forecasting, as well as the application of Artificial Intelligence, specifically Machine Learning and Natural Language Processing in economics. His work has been published in esteemed journals, including Applied Economics, the Pakistan Development Review, and the Lahore Journal of Economics, among others.




PUBLISHED RESEARCH:

1. Syed, A. A. S., & Lee, K. H. (2021). Macroeconomic forecasting for Pakistan in a data-rich environment. Applied Economics, 53(9), 1077-1091.
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00036846.2020.1826399

2. Syed, A. A. S., Fatima, K., & Zaheer, M. (2022). The impact of COVID-19 on stock market and exchange rate uncertainty in Pakistan. Business Review, 16(2), 96-108.
https://ir.iba.edu.pk/businessreview/vol16/iss2/6/

3. Shah, S. A. A., Kaneez, F., & Arshad, R. (2021). The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Consumer Confidence in Pakistan. The Lahore Journal of Economics, 26(2), 19-32.
https://lahoreschoolofeconomics.edu.pk/assets/uploads/lje/Volume26/Syed_Ateeb_Akhter_Shah,_Fatima_Kaneez_and_Riffat_Arshad2.pdf

4. Syed, A. A. S., Fatima, K., & Naseer, R. (2021). The Macroeconomic Impacts of Entitlements. The Hilltop Review, 12(2), 5.
https://ir.iba.edu.pk/businessreview/vol17/iss2/3/

5. Syed, A. A. S., Fatima, K., & Kamal, J. (2022). The macroeconomic impacts of government debt in Pakistan. Business Review, 17(2), 41-55.
https://ir.iba.edu.pk/businessreview/vol17/iss2/3/

6. Syed, A. A. S., Kiran, H., & Qureshi, S. (2022). Forecasting group-wise imports and exports of Pakistan. Pakistan journal of applied economics, 32(2), 169-190.
https://www.aerc.edu.pk/pjae/vol-32-no-1-2022/volume-32-no-2/forecasting-group-wise-imports-and-exports-of-pakistan/

7. Shah, S. A. A., Kaneez, F., & Riffat, A. (2022). Forecasting the GDP Growth in Pakistan: The Role of Consumer Confidence. The Lahore Journal of Economics, 27(1), 69-89.
https://lahoreschoolofeconomics.edu.pk/assets/uploads/lje/Volume27/03_Syed_Ateeb_Akhter_Shah,_Fatima_Kaneez_and_Arshad_Riffat2.pdf

8. Shah, S. A. A., Ishtiaq, M., Qureshi, S., & Fatima, K. (2022). Inflation Forecasting for Pakistan in a Data-rich Environment. The Pakistan Development Review, 61(4), 643-658.
https://thepdr.pk/index.php/pdr/article/view/3163

9. Shah, A. A., Raza, H., & Waheed, M. (2023). Easydata-MD: A Monthly Dataset for Macroeconomic Research on Pakistan. The Lahore Journal of Economics, 28(1), 63A-88.
https://lahoreschoolofeconomics.edu.pk/assets/uploads/lje/Volume28/03_Ateeb_Akhter_Hassan_Raza_and_Mohsin_Waheed2.pdf

PUBLISHED WORKING PAPER:

1. Syed, A. A. S., & Waheed, M. (2024). Measuring Climate Policy Uncertainty and Climate Uncertainty in Pakistan. Available at SSRN 4732774.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4732774